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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Official Website】: Collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
In the foreign exchange market, the changes in the news always affect the exchange rate trend and affect investors' decisions. On September 16, 2025, a series of positive and negative news intertwined, bringing many variables to the foreign exchange market.
The State Administration of Foreign Exchange issued the "Notice of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Deepening the Reform of Foreign Exchange Management in Cross-border Investment and Financing", which reforms from multiple aspects. In terms of cross-border investment, the registration of basic www.vifu.netrmation on the preliminary expenses of foreign direct investment and the registration of domestic reinvestment of foreign-invested enterprises will be abolished, and the policy of domestic non-enterprise scientific research institutions to receive overseas funds ("Kehuitong") will be expanded to the whole country. In terms of cross-border financing, the cross-border financing facilitation quotas for high-tech, "specialized, specialized, and new" and technology-based small and medium-sized enterprises will be increased to an equivalent value of US$10 million, and the quotas for some qualified enterprises selected based on the "innovation points system" will be increased to an equivalent value of US$20 million, and the relevant registration management will be simplified. This series of reform measures will help expand high-level opening up, attract foreign capital, promote cross-border capital flows, form potential support for the RMB exchange rate, and enhance market confidence in RMB assets.
Recently, many countries have sent signals of reducing their dependence on US dollar assets. Swiss National Bank Deputy Governor Antoine? Martin said that due to balance sheet size factors, a large part of the US dollar holdings are being allocated to the euro. In the Economic www.vifu.netmunity Strategic Plan 2026-2030, ASEAN has www.vifu.netmitted to promoting the use of local currencies in trade and investment. Brazilian PresidentCall for increased use of currency swaps in the areas of trade and investment to reduce dependence on the US dollar. New Zealand Super Annuity Fund will shift its investment direction from the US stock market to the European stock market. Many countries' reduced dependence on US dollar assets may lead to a decline in demand for US dollar, and indirectly bringing appreciation opportunities to other currencies such as the euro and the Swiss franc.
Data released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on September 7 showed that as of the end of August 2025, my country's foreign exchange reserves were US$332.2 billion, an increase of US$29.9 billion from the end of July, an increase of 0.91%. The increase in the scale of foreign exchange reserves shows that the stability of my country's foreign exchange market is enhanced, which helps stabilize the RMB exchange rate expectations, and also reflects that my country's economy has certain resilience and attractiveness in the global economic fluctuations, which plays a positive role in the performance of the RMB in the foreign exchange market.
The Federal Reserve will hold a interest rate meeting from September 16 to 17. The market is currently betting that policymakers will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by more than 80%. Since the beginning of this year, the Federal Reserve has "stayed" at interest rate meetings for five consecutive times, mainly because of the risk of inflation rising again in radical tariff measures in the United States. However, Trump's tariff policy prospects suddenly encountered variables. On August 29, local time, the US Court of Appeal ruled that most of the global tariff policies implemented by Trump were illegal. Although these tariff measures can be maintained until October 14, uncertainty has increased. Meanwhile, a hearing on the case of Fed Director Cook suing Trump for dismissal of his post has been held. If Trump successfully removes Cook and nominates a new director, he will account for a majority in the Federal Reserve Board and may gain actual control over interest rate decisions. The uncertainty of the Federal Reserve's decision-making has intensified the fluctuation of the US dollar exchange rate, increasing the overall volatility of the foreign exchange market, and not conducive to market stability.
Trump issued a statement on Sunday, accusing Europe of insufficient sanctions on Russian oil, and demanding that Europe take corresponding actions when imposing stricter sanctions in the United States, and also demanding that allies impose tariffs on imported goods from Asian countries that purchase Russian oil. Previously, the Ukrainian drone attack caused the largest port in western Russia to suspend loading. As the world's second largest oil exporter, its oil supply has always been the focus of market attention. The intensification of geopolitical tensions has led to a warming of risk aversion in the market. Investors tend to hold safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen, which puts pressure on some risky currencies, and also increases uncertainty in the foreign exchange market.
Worries about slowing global economic growth have spread in the market, and many other institutions have recently lowered their global economic growth expectations. Economic data such as slowing employment growth and rising inflation levels in the United States have performed poorly, which has caused market concerns about the outlook for the US economy and even the global economy. existIn the case of uncertain economic growth prospects, investors' risk appetite will decrease, reducing holdings of high-risk currencies, and the flow of funds to relatively safe assets and currencies will affect the supply and demand relationship between currencies in the foreign exchange market and put downward pressure on some emerging market currencies and economically sensitive currencies.
Total view, today's foreign exchange market is affected by many news, and the game between long and short factors is fierce. Investors need to pay close attention to the results of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, the development of the geopolitical situation and changes in global economic data in order to adjust their investment strategies in a timely manner and respond to the www.vifu.netplexity and change of the foreign exchange market.
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